Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Sea level rise contribution from Ryder Glacier in northern Greenland varies by an order of magnitude by 2300 depending on future emissions
Stockholms universitet, Institutionen för geologiska vetenskaper.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9822-826x
Stockholms universitet, Institutionen för geologiska vetenskaper.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8982-0034
Show others and affiliations
Responsible organisation
2025 (English)In: The Cryosphere, ISSN 1994-0416, E-ISSN 1994-0424, Vol. 19, no 7, p. 2695-2714Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The northern sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet contains some of the ice sheet's last remaining glaciers with floating ice tongues. One of these glaciers is Ryder Glacier, which has been relatively stable in recent decades, in contrast to the neighbouring Petermann and C.H. Ostenfeld glaciers. Understanding Ryder Glacier's future behaviour is important as ice-tongue loss could lead to acceleration and increased ice discharge. Meanwhile, it is unclear whether Greenland-wide modelling attempts are able to accurately resolve the influence of fjord and bedrock topography and small-scale variations in ice dynamics for a glacier like Ryder. To fill these gaps, here we conduct targeted high-resolution modelling of Ryder Glacier until the year 2300. We find that mass loss is dominated by discharge under a low-emissions scenario all the way to 2300, leading to a sea level contribution of between 0.8 and 2 mm depending on the amount of ocean warming. Discharge also plays a key role under a high-emissions scenario up until 2100, after which a strongly negative surface mass balance becomes the dominant driver of mass loss. This negative surface mass balance leads to a much higher sea level rise contribution by 2300 of between 44 and 52 mm, with little sensitivity to the range of ocean warming scenarios used in this study.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. Vol. 19, no 7, p. 2695-2714
National Category
Physical Geography
Research subject
SWEDARCTIC, SWEDARCTIC 2019
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:polar:diva-9195DOI: 10.5194/tc-19-2695-2025ISI: 001538167500001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105017253206OAI: oai:DiVA.org:polar-9195DiVA, id: diva2:2025654
Available from: 2026-01-07 Created: 2026-01-07 Last updated: 2026-01-08Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(6957 kB)21 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 6957 kBChecksum SHA-512
999f7006d9b6bfaa790c25ce1bbf6c44bc3e97766e1d0e00b75c30cf020bf282a538456fcd31650e528e3614e2623ec2a87b5be2f4fd1170b0105e2c25801442
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full textScopusFulltext

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Holmes, Felicity A.Barnett, JamieNilsson, JohanKirchner, NinaJakobsson, Martin
In the same journal
The Cryosphere
Physical Geography

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 168 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf