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Integrating natural gradients, experiments, and statistical modeling in a distributed network experiment: An example from the WaRM Network
Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Department, University of Michigan, MI, Ann Arbor, United States; The Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory, CO, Crested Butte, United States.
Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Department, University of Michigan, MI, Ann Arbor, United States; The Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory, CO, Crested Butte, United States; Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Forest Ecology and Management, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Umeå, Sweden.
CONICET, CENAC-APN, Rio Negro, San Carlos de Bariloche, Argentina; Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Vermont, VT, Burlington, United States.
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2022 (English)In: Ecology and Evolution, ISSN 2045-7758, E-ISSN 2045-7758, Vol. 12, no 10, article id e9396Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

A growing body of work examines the direct and indirect effects of climate change on ecosystems, typically by using manipulative experiments at a single site or performing meta-analyses across many independent experiments. However, results from single-site studies tend to have limited generality. Although meta-analytic approaches can help overcome this by exploring trends across sites, the inherent limitations in combining disparate datasets from independent approaches remain a major challenge. In this paper, we present a globally distributed experimental network that can be used to disentangle the direct and indirect effects of climate change. We discuss how natural gradients, experimental approaches, and statistical techniques can be combined to best inform predictions about responses to climate change, and we present a globally distributed experiment that utilizes natural environmental gradients to better understand long-term community and ecosystem responses to environmental change. The warming and (species) removal in mountains (WaRM) network employs experimental warming and plant species removals at high- and low-elevation sites in a factorial design to examine the combined and relative effects of climatic warming and the loss of dominant species on community structure and ecosystem function, both above- and belowground. The experimental design of the network allows for increasingly common statistical approaches to further elucidate the direct and indirect effects of warming. We argue that combining ecological observations and experiments along gradients is a powerful approach to make stronger predictions of how ecosystems will function in a warming world as species are lost, or gained, in local communities.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons , 2022. Vol. 12, no 10, article id e9396
Keywords [en]
alpine plant communities, climate change, elevational gradients, global change, mountains, warming
National Category
Ecology Climate Research
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:polar:diva-8941DOI: 10.1002/ece3.9396ISI: 000868807800001PubMedID: 36262264Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85141173171OAI: oai:DiVA.org:polar-8941DiVA, id: diva2:1716351
Available from: 2022-12-05 Created: 2022-12-05 Last updated: 2022-12-05Bibliographically approved

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