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Dynamic simulations of potential methane release from East Siberian continental slope sediments
Stockholms universitet, Institutionen för geologiska vetenskaper.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1004-5213
Stockholms universitet, Institutionen för geologiska vetenskaper.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6046-1488
Stockholms universitet, Institutionen för geologiska vetenskaper.
Stockholms universitet, Institutionen för geologiska vetenskaper.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1110-3059
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Number of Authors: 7
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2016 (English)In: Geochemistry Geophysics Geosystems, E-ISSN 1525-2027, Vol. 17, no 3, p. 872-886Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Sediments deposited along continental margins of the Arctic Ocean presumably host large amounts of methane (CH4) in gas hydrates. Here we apply numerical simulations to assess the potential of gas hydrate dissociation and methane release from the East Siberian slope over the next 100 years. Simulations are based on a hypothesized bottom water warming of 3 degrees C, and an assumed starting distribution of gas hydrate. The simulation results show that gas hydrate dissociation in these sediments is relatively slow, and that CH4 fluxes toward the seafloor are limited by low sediment permeability. The latter is true even when sediment fractures are permitted to form in response to overpressure in pore space. With an initial gas hydrate distribution dictated by present-day pressure and temperature conditions, nominally 0.35 Gt of CH4 are released from the East Siberian slope during the first 100 years of the simulation. However, this CH4 discharge becomes significantly smaller (approximate to 0.05 Gt) if glacial sea level changes in the Arctic Ocean are considered. This is because a lower sea level during the last glacial maximum (LGM) must result in depleted gas hydrate abundance within the most sensitive region of the modern gas hydrate stability zone. Even if all released CH4 reached the atmosphere, the amount coming from East Siberian slopes would be trivial compared to present-day atmospheric CH4 inputs from other sources.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2016. Vol. 17, no 3, p. 872-886
Keywords [en]
hydrate dissociation, Arctic, tough plus hydrate, hydrate modeling, sediment gas retention
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Research subject
SWEDARCTIC 2014, SWERUS-C3
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:polar:diva-8685DOI: 10.1002/2015GC006119ISI: 000375144700013OAI: oai:DiVA.org:polar-8685DiVA, id: diva2:1553175
Available from: 2016-06-13 Created: 2021-05-07 Last updated: 2023-02-21Bibliographically approved

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Stranne, ChristianO'Regan, MatthewCrill, Patrick
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