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Selecting the best probability distribution for at-site flood frequency analysis; a study of Torne River
Responsible organisation
2019 (English)In: SN Applied Sciences, ISSN 2523-3963, E-ISSN 2523-3971, Vol. 1, no 12Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

At-site flood frequency analysis is a direct method of estimation of flood frequency at a particular site. The appropriate selection of probability distribution and a parameter estimation method are important for at-site flood frequency analysis. Generalized extreme value, three-parameter log-normal, generalized logistic, Pearson type-III and Gumbel distributions have been considered to describe the annual maximum steam flow at five gauging sites of Torne River in Sweden. To estimate the parameters of distributions, maximum likelihood estimation and L-moments methods are used. The performance of these distributions is assessed based on goodness-of-fit tests and accuracy measures. At most sites, the best-fitted distributions are with LMĀ estimation method. Finally, the most suitable distribution at each site is used to predict the maximum flood magnitude for different return periods.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2019. Vol. 1, no 12
Keywords [en]
Flood frequency analysis, L-moments, Maximum likelihood estimation
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:polar:diva-8372DOI: 10.1007/s42452-019-1584-zOAI: oai:DiVA.org:polar-8372DiVA, id: diva2:1395891
Available from: 2020-02-24 Created: 2020-02-24 Last updated: 2023-03-28Bibliographically approved

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